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OVERVIEW
In this webinar, we will explore the key features of the Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic and the PAC model, with a special focus on the ocean models in the Southwest Pacific. We’ll present GEM’s approach to building PSHA models that span vast regions, even in data-scarce areas. Additionally, we will highlight seismic hazard trends across the region, including insights for key population centers.
Speakers & Panelists
Session Title
Kirsty Bayliss
Seismic Hazard Scientist
Kendra Johnson
Senior Seismic Hazard Scientist
AGENDA
Session Title
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Time | Topic | Speaker | Organisation |
|---|---|---|---|
Karim Aljawhari | |||
Fatemah Jalayer | |||
Maria Durante | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Romeu Vicente | |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Daniela Di Bucci | DPC Italy | ||
Jamal Dabbeek | GEM | ||
Catalina Yepes | GEM | ||
Helen Crowley | GEM | ||
Christopher Brooks | GEM | ||
Kirsty Bayliss | GEM | ||
Manuela Villani | GEM | ||
Marco Pagani | GEM | ||
Catalina Yepes Estrada | GEM | ||
Anirudh Rao | GEM | ||
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM | ||
Martina Caruso | GEM | ||
Alejandro Calderón | GEM | ||
Marco Baiguera | GEM | ||
16:45-17:00 | Q&A | Moderator | GEM |
Catarina Costa | |||
Meera Raghunandan | |||
Cláudia Pinto | |||
Al Mouayed Nafeh | |||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Maria Durante | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Stavroula Fotopou | |||
Fatemah Jalayer | |||
Romeu Vicente | |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
PSHA models for the oceans (Pacific Region) | |||
Development of the Pacific Islands (PAC) Model | |||
16:20-16:45 | Expansion plans under the FORCE project covering small island communities | Kirsty Bayliss | GEM |
16:00-16:20 | Overview of GEM's Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic | Kendra Johnson | GEM |
Anil Pokhrel | Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority, Nepal | ||
Nicolas Pondard | Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Dominik Lang | Director, Natural Hazards Division, NGI, Norway | ||
Shinji Takarada | Chief Senior Researcher, Geological Survey of Japan | ||
Robert Emberson | Associate Program Manager, NASA Earth Applied Sciences Program | ||
Janise Rodgers | COO, Geohazards International | ||
Ramesh Guragain | Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology (NSET) Nepal | ||
Discussion: Forming a global geohazards risk assessment network (community of practice) | Malaika Ulmi and John Schneider | GSC and GEM | |
Renato Solidum, Jr. | Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines | ||
Lindsay Davis | Manager, Global Portfolio-Earthquake Hazard & Risk, USAID/USGS | ||
Christina Magill | Natural Hazard Risk Scientist, GNS Science, NZ | ||
Anselmo Pedrazzi | Executive Coordinator, Applied Geology Division, (LAMESO-SGB), Brazil | ||
Celestin Mahinda | Scientific Director, Research Center of Natural Sciences, Democratic Republic of Congo | ||
Teresito Bacolcol | Director, Phivolcs, Philippines | ||
Mabelline Cahulogan | Supervising Science Research Specialist, -Phivolcs, Philippines | ||
Asaka Iwaki | Chief Researcher, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED), Japan | ||
Hendriyawan Djazilus | Head, Ocean Engineering Program, ITB-Indonesia | ||
Takeshi Sato | Senior Engineer, Earthquake and Tsunami Div, Japan Meteorological Agency | ||
Panel 2: Existing Global Networks | John Schneider | Senior Advisor, GEM | |
Malaika Ulmi | Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada | ||
Judith Giblin | Ocean & Coastal Risk Data Analyst, South Pacific (SPC) | ||
Panel 1: Assessing National Capability | John Schneider and Malaika Ulmi | GEM and GSC | |
Gill Jolly | Chief Science Advisor, MBIE, GNS Science, NZ | ||
Malaika Ulmi | Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada | ||
Nicolas Pondard | Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank | ||
Renato Solidum, Jr. | Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines | ||
Anil Pokharel | Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority (NSET), Nepal | ||
Shunichi Koshimura | Deputy Director, IRIDes-Tohoku University | ||
Shubharoop Ghosh | Vice President, ImageCat, Inc. | ||
Laurie Johnson | CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Maksud Kamal | Vice Chancellor, Dhaka University | ||
18 June
10:30 - 12:30 (Plenary) | Plenary: Richter Resilience: Advancing Seismic Protection Worldwide | The World Bank | ----- |
Ron Eguchi | CEO, ImageCat, Inc. | ||
Takara Kaoru | President, NIED Japan | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Renato Solidum Jr. | Secretary, Department of Science and Technology Philippines-PH | ||
Humberto Lopez | Director, World Bank Country Turkyie | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Laurie Johnson | CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting | ||
Ramesh Guragain | Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology-Nepal (NSET) | ||
Anne Wein | Principal investigator, U.S. Geological Survey | ||
Norio Maki | Professor, Kyoto University | ||
Malaika Ulmi | Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada | ||
19 June
09:30 - 10:30
Room 409 | Can ‘Seeing’ the Future Help us Change it? A Discussion on Future Directions for Disaster Scenarios | Janise Rodgers | COO, GeoHazards International |
18 June
09:30 - 10:30
Medium Hall | Symphony of Tradition and Innovation: Orchestrating Global Resilience in Diverse Communities | ImageCat, Inc. | ----- |
20 June
14:00 - 18:00
Room 409 | What About Geohazards? Building a Global Community for Hazard and Risk Assessment | John Schneider | Senior Advisor, GEM |
18 June
12:30 - 13:30
Room 409 | What About Geohazards? The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level | John Schneider | Senior Advisor, GEM |
1 July, Monday 14:30-15:45 (Stage presentations, Suite 9) | Managing earthquake risk through multi-lateral partnerships | J.F. Schneider | GEM |
M.J. Barrera | Suramericana S.A Colombia | ||
M. Edwards | Geoscience Australia | ||
E. Wandari | Arup, Jakarta | ||
14:30-16:00 | Forward-looking earthquake risk modelling and quantification: recent advances and perspectives | C. Galasso | University College London |
G. Cremen | University College London | ||
V. Silva | GEM | ||
J. Baker | Stanford University | ||
D. Lallemant | Nanyang Technological University | ||
S. Loos | University of Michigan | ||
A. Barbosa | Oregon State University | ||
A. Calderon | GEM | ||
C. Mesta | Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS | ||
C. Huang | NORSAR | ||
R. Guragain | NSET Nepal | ||
M. Polese | Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II | ||
14:30-16:00 | Macroseismology: current studies and future directions | D. Wald | USGS |
J. Schwarz | Weimar University | ||
V. Silva | GEM | ||
P. Sbarra | INGV | ||
A. Hortascu | Applied Technology Council USA | ||
T. Goded | GNS Science | ||
G. Grunthal | GFZ Potsdam | ||
R. Spence | Cambridge Architectural Research UK | ||
2 July, Tuesday 10:30-11:45 (Stage presentations - Amber 5) and 14:30-15:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) | National seismic risk modelling efforts: challenges, achievements and future goals | V. Silva | University of Aveiro/GEM |
H. Crowley | GEM | ||
A.B. Acevedo | EAFIT University Colombia | ||
T. Hobbs | Natural Resources Canada | ||
K. Jaiswal | USGS | ||
C. Arteta | Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla Colombia | ||
A. Papadopoulos | Swiss Federal Institute of Technology | ||
K. Pitilakis | University of Thessaloniki Greece | ||
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) | G. Trendafiloski | Impact Forecasting | |
M. Kolaj | Natural Resources Canada | ||
C.-H. Chan | E-DREaM Center Taiwan | ||
M. Irsyam | Bandung Institute of Technology Indonesia | ||
H. Fujiwara | NIED Japan | ||
T. Allen | Geoscience Australia | ||
E.H. Field | USGS | ||
N. Abrahamson | UC Berkeley | ||
3 July, Wednesday 09:00-10:15 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) | Matt C. Gerstenberger | Seismologist, GNS Science NZ | |
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 10:30-11:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) and 14:30-15:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) | Mark D. Petersen | Supervisory Research Geophysicist, USGS | |
Anirudh Rao | GEM | ||
13:30-15:00 | Earthquake Loss Modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk | Vitor Silva | GEM |
1 July, Monday 10:30-11:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 14:30-15:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) | Advances in seismic hazard analysis | Marco Pagani | Head of Seismic Hazards, GEM |
17:05 - 17:15 | ATLAS overview | Andres Abarca | GEM |
17:15 - 17:25 | Underlying hazard science | Marco Pagani | GEM |
17:25 - 17:35 | Underlying software | Paul Henshaw | GEM |
17:35 - 17:45 | User testimonial | Stevan Gavrilovic | Arup |
17:45 - 18:00 | Access and Q&A | Andres Abarca | GEM |
17:00 - 17:05 | Welcome & Introduction | Helen Crowley | GEM |
10:15-10:25 | Overview of GEM's 2023 product release | Helen Crowley | GEM |
11:05-11:20 | Walkthrough of access to GEM's 2023 products | Andres Abarca | GEM |
10:25-10:45 | GEM's global seismic hazard mosaic and future developments | Marco Pagani | GEM |
10:45-11:05 | GEM's global seismic risk mosaic and future developments | Vitor Silva | GEM |
11:20-11:55 | Q&A and Discussion | John Schneider | GEM |
11:55-12:00 | Closing Remarks | Helen Crowley | GEM |
10:05-10:15 | International Day for DRR and GEM's global hazard and risk maps | John Schneider | GEM |
10:00-10:05 | Welcome | Helen Crowley | GEM |
15:50-16:30 | Update of the Global Hazard Model | Marco Pagani | GEM |
Session 2: How has it been used? (June 14th, morning) | |||
10:55-11:10 | Application to insurance/financial risk modelling | Crescenzo Petrone | Gallagher Re, |
14:00-14:05 | Introduction: Session 3 | Lindsay Davis | USGS/USAID, |
15:40-16:10 | Keynote Lecture: International Macroseismic Scale | David Wald | United States Geological Survey (USGS) |
17:10-17:30 | Launch of the Earthquake Scenarios Database | Catalina Yepes | GEM |
10:25-10:55 | Coffee break | ||
16:30-17:10 | Update of the Global Risk Model | Vitor Silva | GEM |
11:40-12:20 | Discussion Panel 2: Using GEM products to make a difference | Panel 2 Moderator:
Laurie Johnson (Laurie Johnson Consulting)
Panelists: Alanna Simpson, Tiegan Hobbs, Miguel Mora, Tso-Chien Pan, Crescenzo Petrone, Angelica Zanichelli, Paola Traversa | |
18:00-19:30 | Aperitivo | ||
14:35-14:50 | Triggered or secondary effects: Landslide | Farrokh Nadim | NGI � Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
11:10-11:25 | Mitigating Risks in Georgia's Emergency Facilities: Arup and GEM's Collaborative Risk Assessment | Angelica Zanichelli | Arup |
15:00-15:10 | Flash introductions of poster and demo session | Posters and demos presenters | |
09:55-10:10 | Colombia Earthquake Hazard model + Cali | Miguel Mora | I+R Consultores en Ingenier�a y Riesgos |
10:10-10:25 | Urban Seismic Risk Assessment | Tso-Chien Pan | Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management-NTU |
9:00-9:10 | Introduction: Session 2 | Joerg Steffensen | Hannover Re |
13:15-13:20 | Introduction to the presentations | Iain Stewart | Royal Scientific Society, Jordan |
13:50-14:20 | DASK National Insurance perspective of Turkey EQ | Ahmet Bu?ra Ceyhan | DASK |
12:20-14:00 | Lunch break - Posters and Demonstrations | ||
9:40-09:55 | Canadian Earthquake Risk Model | Tiegan Hobbs | Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) |
14:50-15:10 | Incorporation of NASA products in global hazard and risk assessment | Shanna McClain | NASA |
16:40-16:55 | Future Exposure and Risk to natural hazards | Alejandro Calderon | GEM |
9:10-09:40 | Keynote Lecture: Landscape of DRR initiatives - past, present and future | Alanna Simpson | World Bank Group |
13:10-13:15 | Opening Address (video message) | Mami Mizutori | United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction |
15:10-15:40 | Coffee break | ||
15:40-15:50 | Session 1: What has been developed? | Sonia Talwar | NRCan |
14:20-14:35 | Triggered or secondary effects: Liquefaction | Ellen Rathje | University of Texas at Austin, Geotechnical Engineering |
16:25-16:40 | Using GEM products to support rapid loss assessment | Alberto Michelini | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) ARISTOTLE |
16:55-17:25 | Closing Discussion Panel: The role of GEM to 2030 | Closing Panel Moderator:
John Schneider (GEM)
Panelists:: Laurie Johnson, Sibylle Steimen, Kishor Jaiswal, Jenty Kirsch-Wood, Matthias Schmid, Sangeeta Singh | |
16:10-16:25 | Systemic or cascading infrastructure risk | Astha Poudel | Aristotle
University of Thessaloniki |
14:20-15:00 | Intro Discussion Panel: Lessons learned regarding post-earthquake impact assessment | Intro Panel Moderator:
Michael Ewald (SwissRe)
Panelists: Nilesh Shome, Jay Guin, Mustafa Erdik,
Sinan Akkar,
Jaime Abad
Perez | |
17:30-18:00 | Discussion Panel 1: Development and use of the Global earthquake models | Panel 1 Moderator:
Helen Crowley (Eucentre)
Panelists: Vitor Silva, Marco Pagani, Chung-Han Chan, Paul Della Marta,
Daniela
Di Bucci | |
Session 3: Where are we going? (June 14th, afternoon) | |||
13:20-13:50 | Lessons learned from the 2023 Kahramanmara?, T�rkiye earthquakes: Modeling aspects of insured portfolio losses | Sinan Akkar | Turk Reinsurance Inc.,
Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker) |
15:10-15:40 | Coffee break - Posters and demonstrations | ||
14:05-14:20 | Triggered or secondary effects: Tsunami | Stefano Lorito | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) |
13:00-13:10 | Introductory remarks | John Schneider | GEM |
17:25-17:30 | Final Wrap/Closing | Jorg Steffensen | Hannover Re |
11:25-11:40 | Site-specific seismic hazard assessment for nuclear and hydropower facilities in France | Paola Traversa | Electricit�
de France (EdF) |
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