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Understanding Risk Global Forum 2024 (UR24)

June 16-21, 2024

Himeji, Japan

OVERVIEW

The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation is proud to participate in the Understanding Risk Global Forum 2024 (UR24) in Himeji, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan, from June 16th to 21st, 2024. GEM, in collaboration with the World Community of Geological Surveys WCOGS, will be actively involved on June 18th-20th, leading a technical session titled "Building Geohazards Risk Assessment Capacity at the National Level." GEM will also host a focus event on the same topic for more in-depth discussions, allowing for a more interactive exchange of ideas and promoting collaboration among stakeholders.


GEM invites attendees from national governments, disaster risk reduction agencies, academia, and other stakeholders interested in strengthening earthquake risk assessment capacities to:

  • Participate in our technical session to gain in-depth knowledge of our work.

  • Attend our side event for focused discussions and networking opportunities.

  • Visit our exhibition booth, in the “friends of NASA” space, to explore our open seismic risk assessment resources.


Convenors/Speakers

The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level

Nicolas Pondard

1C - Panelist

Shubharoop Ghosh

1A - Panelist

Ron Eguchi

1A - Moderator

Humberto Lopez

1B - Moderator

Renato Solidum, Jr.

1C- Panelist

Laurie Johnson

1A - Panelist

Takara Kaoru

1B - Speaker

Malaika Ulmi

1C - Convenor

Anil Pokharel

1C - Panelist

Helen Crowley

1A - Panelist

Helen Crowley

1B - Speaker

ImageCat, Inc.

1A - Convenor

Shunichi Koshimura

1A - Panelist

The World Bank

1B - Convenor

Renato Solidum Jr.

1B - Speaker

John Schneider

1C - Convenor

AGENDA

The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level

Geohazards such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis and landslides represent a significant proportion of the global disaster risk. Yet the capabilities for assessing risk at national to sub-national level are often insufficient. This session will discuss the state of practice and identify the needs for improving hazard and risk assessment capabilities. A complimentary Focus Day event will propose the way forward through the development of a global collaboration network.

Time
Topic
Speaker
Organisation
Karim Aljawhari
Fatemah Jalayer
Maria Durante
Finn Løvholt
Romeu Vicente
Vitor Silva
GEM
Christopher Brooks
Daniela Di Bucci
DPC Italy
Jamal Dabbeek
GEM
Catalina Yepes
GEM
Helen Crowley
GEM
Christopher Brooks
GEM
Kirsty Bayliss
GEM
Manuela Villani
GEM
Marco Pagani
GEM
Catalina Yepes Estrada
GEM
Anirudh Rao
GEM
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh
GEM
Martina Caruso
GEM
Alejandro Calderón
GEM
Marco Baiguera
GEM
16:45-17:00
Q&A
Moderator
GEM
Catarina Costa
Meera Raghunandan
Cláudia Pinto
Al Mouayed Nafeh
Christopher Brooks
Maria Durante
Finn Løvholt
Stavroula Fotopou
Fatemah Jalayer
Romeu Vicente
Vitor Silva
GEM
PSHA models for the oceans (Pacific Region)
Development of the Pacific Islands (PAC) Model
16:20-16:45
Expansion plans under the FORCE project covering small island communities
Kirsty Bayliss
GEM
16:00-16:20
Overview of GEM's Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic
Kendra Johnson
GEM
Anil Pokhrel
Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority, Nepal
Nicolas Pondard
Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank
Helen Crowley
Secretary General, GEM
Dominik Lang
Director, Natural Hazards Division, NGI, Norway
Shinji Takarada
Chief Senior Researcher, Geological Survey of Japan
Robert Emberson
Associate Program Manager, NASA Earth Applied Sciences Program
Janise Rodgers
COO, Geohazards International
Ramesh Guragain
Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology (NSET) Nepal
Discussion: Forming a global geohazards risk assessment network (community of practice)
Malaika Ulmi and John Schneider
GSC and GEM
Renato Solidum, Jr.
Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines
Lindsay Davis
Manager, Global Portfolio-Earthquake Hazard & Risk, USAID/USGS
Christina Magill
Natural Hazard Risk Scientist, GNS Science, NZ
Anselmo Pedrazzi
Executive Coordinator, Applied Geology Division, (LAMESO-SGB), Brazil
Celestin Mahinda
Scientific Director, Research Center of Natural Sciences, Democratic Republic of Congo
Teresito Bacolcol
Director, Phivolcs, Philippines
Mabelline Cahulogan
Supervising Science Research Specialist, -Phivolcs, Philippines
Asaka Iwaki
Chief Researcher, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED), Japan
Hendriyawan Djazilus
Head, Ocean Engineering Program, ITB-Indonesia
Takeshi Sato
Senior Engineer, Earthquake and Tsunami Div, Japan Meteorological Agency
Panel 2: Existing Global Networks
John Schneider
Senior Advisor, GEM
Malaika Ulmi
Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada
Judith Giblin
Ocean & Coastal Risk Data Analyst, South Pacific (SPC)
Panel 1: Assessing National Capability
John Schneider and Malaika Ulmi
GEM and GSC
Gill Jolly
Chief Science Advisor, MBIE, GNS Science, NZ
Malaika Ulmi
Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada
Nicolas Pondard
Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank
Renato Solidum, Jr.
Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines
Anil Pokharel
Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority (NSET), Nepal
Shunichi Koshimura
Deputy Director, IRIDes-Tohoku University
Shubharoop Ghosh
Vice President, ImageCat, Inc.
Laurie Johnson
CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting
Helen Crowley
Secretary General, GEM
Maksud Kamal
Vice Chancellor, Dhaka University
18 June 10:30 - 12:30 (Plenary)
Plenary: Richter Resilience: Advancing Seismic Protection Worldwide
The World Bank
-----
Ron Eguchi
CEO, ImageCat, Inc.
Takara Kaoru
President, NIED Japan
Helen Crowley
Secretary General, GEM
Renato Solidum Jr.
Secretary, Department of Science and Technology Philippines-PH
Humberto Lopez
Director, World Bank Country Turkyie
Helen Crowley
Secretary General, GEM
Laurie Johnson
CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting
Ramesh Guragain
Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology-Nepal (NSET)
Anne Wein
Principal investigator, U.S. Geological Survey
Norio Maki
Professor, Kyoto University
Malaika Ulmi
Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada
19 June 09:30 - 10:30 Room 409
Can ‘Seeing’ the Future Help us Change it? A Discussion on Future Directions for Disaster Scenarios
Janise Rodgers
COO, GeoHazards International
18 June 09:30 - 10:30 Medium Hall
Symphony of Tradition and Innovation: Orchestrating Global Resilience in Diverse Communities
ImageCat, Inc.
-----
20 June 14:00 - 18:00 Room 409
What About Geohazards? Building a Global Community for Hazard and Risk Assessment
John Schneider
Senior Advisor, GEM
18 June 12:30 - 13:30 Room 409
What About Geohazards? The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level
John Schneider
Senior Advisor, GEM
1 July, Monday 14:30-15:45 (Stage presentations, Suite 9)
Managing earthquake risk through multi-lateral partnerships
J.F. Schneider
GEM
M.J. Barrera
Suramericana S.A Colombia
M. Edwards
Geoscience Australia
E. Wandari
Arup, Jakarta
14:30-16:00
Forward-looking earthquake risk modelling and quantification: recent advances and perspectives
C. Galasso
University College London
G. Cremen
University College London
V. Silva
GEM
J. Baker
Stanford University
D. Lallemant
Nanyang Technological University
S. Loos
University of Michigan
A. Barbosa
Oregon State University
A. Calderon
GEM
C. Mesta
Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS
C. Huang
NORSAR
R. Guragain
NSET Nepal
M. Polese
Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II
14:30-16:00
Macroseismology: current studies and future directions
D. Wald
USGS
J. Schwarz
Weimar University
V. Silva
GEM
P. Sbarra
INGV
A. Hortascu
Applied Technology Council USA
T. Goded
GNS Science
G. Grunthal
GFZ Potsdam
R. Spence
Cambridge Architectural Research UK
2 July, Tuesday 10:30-11:45 (Stage presentations - Amber 5) and 14:30-15:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
National seismic risk modelling efforts: challenges, achievements and future goals
V. Silva
University of Aveiro/GEM
H. Crowley
GEM
A.B. Acevedo
EAFIT University Colombia
T. Hobbs
Natural Resources Canada
K. Jaiswal
USGS
C. Arteta
Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla Colombia
A. Papadopoulos
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
K. Pitilakis
University of Thessaloniki Greece
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
G. Trendafiloski
Impact Forecasting
M. Kolaj
Natural Resources Canada
C.-H. Chan
E-DREaM Center Taiwan
M. Irsyam
Bandung Institute of Technology Indonesia
H. Fujiwara
NIED Japan
T. Allen
Geoscience Australia
E.H. Field
USGS
N. Abrahamson
UC Berkeley
3 July, Wednesday 09:00-10:15 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
Matt C. Gerstenberger
Seismologist, GNS Science NZ
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 10:30-11:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) and 14:30-15:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5)
Mark D. Petersen
Supervisory Research Geophysicist, USGS
Anirudh Rao
GEM
13:30-15:00
Earthquake Loss Modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk
Vitor Silva
GEM
1 July, Monday 10:30-11:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 14:30-15:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
Advances in seismic hazard analysis
Marco Pagani
Head of Seismic Hazards, GEM
17:05 - 17:15
ATLAS overview
Andres Abarca
GEM
17:15 - 17:25
Underlying hazard science
Marco Pagani
GEM
17:25 - 17:35
Underlying software
Paul Henshaw
GEM
17:35 - 17:45
User testimonial
Stevan Gavrilovic
Arup
17:45 - 18:00
Access and Q&A
Andres Abarca
GEM
17:00 - 17:05
Welcome & Introduction
Helen Crowley
GEM
10:15-10:25
Overview of GEM's 2023 product release
Helen Crowley
GEM
11:05-11:20
Walkthrough of access to GEM's 2023 products
Andres Abarca
GEM
10:25-10:45
GEM's global seismic hazard mosaic and future developments
Marco Pagani
GEM
10:45-11:05
GEM's global seismic risk mosaic and future developments
Vitor Silva
GEM
11:20-11:55
Q&A and Discussion
John Schneider
GEM
11:55-12:00
Closing Remarks
Helen Crowley
GEM
10:05-10:15
International Day for DRR and GEM's global hazard and risk maps
John Schneider
GEM
10:00-10:05
Welcome
Helen Crowley
GEM
15:50-16:30
Update of the Global Hazard Model
Marco Pagani
GEM
Session 2: How has it been used? (June 14th, morning)
10:55-11:10
Application to insurance/financial risk modelling
Crescenzo Petrone
Gallagher Re,
14:00-14:05
Introduction: Session 3
Lindsay Davis
USGS/USAID,
15:40-16:10
Keynote Lecture: International Macroseismic Scale
David Wald
United States Geological Survey (USGS)
17:10-17:30
Launch of the Earthquake Scenarios Database
Catalina Yepes
GEM
10:25-10:55
Coffee break
16:30-17:10
Update of the Global Risk Model
Vitor Silva
GEM
11:40-12:20
Discussion Panel 2: Using GEM products to make a difference
Panel 2 Moderator: Laurie Johnson (Laurie Johnson Consulting) Panelists: Alanna Simpson, Tiegan Hobbs, Miguel Mora, Tso-Chien Pan, Crescenzo Petrone, Angelica Zanichelli, Paola Traversa
18:00-19:30
Aperitivo
14:35-14:50
Triggered or secondary effects: Landslide
Farrokh Nadim
NGI � Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
11:10-11:25
Mitigating Risks in Georgia's Emergency Facilities: Arup and GEM's Collaborative Risk Assessment
Angelica Zanichelli
Arup
15:00-15:10
Flash introductions of poster and demo session
Posters and demos presenters
09:55-10:10
Colombia Earthquake Hazard model + Cali
Miguel Mora
I+R Consultores en Ingenier�a y Riesgos
10:10-10:25
Urban Seismic Risk Assessment
Tso-Chien Pan
Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management-NTU
9:00-9:10
Introduction: Session 2
Joerg Steffensen
Hannover Re
13:15-13:20
Introduction to the presentations
Iain Stewart
Royal Scientific Society, Jordan
13:50-14:20
DASK National Insurance perspective of Turkey EQ
Ahmet Bu?ra Ceyhan
DASK
12:20-14:00
Lunch break - Posters and Demonstrations
9:40-09:55
Canadian Earthquake Risk Model
Tiegan Hobbs
Natural Resources Canada (NRCan)
14:50-15:10
Incorporation of NASA products in global hazard and risk assessment
Shanna McClain
NASA
16:40-16:55
Future Exposure and Risk to natural hazards
Alejandro Calderon
GEM
9:10-09:40
Keynote Lecture: Landscape of DRR initiatives - past, present and future
Alanna Simpson
World Bank Group
13:10-13:15
Opening Address (video message)
Mami Mizutori
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
15:10-15:40
Coffee break
15:40-15:50
Session 1: What has been developed?
Sonia Talwar
NRCan
14:20-14:35
Triggered or secondary effects: Liquefaction
Ellen Rathje
University of Texas at Austin, Geotechnical Engineering
16:25-16:40
Using GEM products to support rapid loss assessment
Alberto Michelini
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) ARISTOTLE
16:55-17:25
Closing Discussion Panel: The role of GEM to 2030
Closing Panel Moderator: John Schneider (GEM) Panelists:: Laurie Johnson, Sibylle Steimen, Kishor Jaiswal, Jenty Kirsch-Wood, Matthias Schmid, Sangeeta Singh
16:10-16:25
Systemic or cascading infrastructure risk
Astha Poudel
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
14:20-15:00
Intro Discussion Panel: Lessons learned regarding post-earthquake impact assessment
Intro Panel Moderator: Michael Ewald (SwissRe) Panelists: Nilesh Shome, Jay Guin, Mustafa Erdik, Sinan Akkar, Jaime Abad Perez
17:30-18:00
Discussion Panel 1: Development and use of the Global earthquake models
Panel 1 Moderator: Helen Crowley (Eucentre) Panelists: Vitor Silva, Marco Pagani, Chung-Han Chan, Paul Della Marta, Daniela Di Bucci
Session 3: Where are we going? (June 14th, afternoon)
13:20-13:50
Lessons learned from the 2023 Kahramanmara?, T�rkiye earthquakes: Modeling aspects of insured portfolio losses
Sinan Akkar
Turk Reinsurance Inc., Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker)
15:10-15:40
Coffee break - Posters and demonstrations
14:05-14:20
Triggered or secondary effects: Tsunami
Stefano Lorito
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
13:00-13:10
Introductory remarks
John Schneider
GEM
17:25-17:30
Final Wrap/Closing
Jorg Steffensen
Hannover Re
11:25-11:40
Site-specific seismic hazard assessment for nuclear and hydropower facilities in France
Paola Traversa
Electricit� de France (EdF)

REGISTRATION

Stay tuned for more details!

We will provide further registration details for GEM's sessions at UR24 in the coming weeks. For inquiries, please contact info@globalquakemodel.org.


Links


EXHIBITION

Visit GEM's booth in the "Friends of NASA" area. Explore open seismic risk resources and chat with our earthquake experts!










LOCATION

HOTEL

TRANSPORTATION

Taxi

Taxis in Japan are quite expensive and you may prefer other public transportation services. However, in smaller cities or late evening hours, they may be the only solution to get to your destination. Taxi stands may be easily found outside airports and train stations but you also may flag down a taxi in the street. You may also use a taxi app or request the reception of your hotel to call a taxi for you.


A couple of things to know when using a taxi in Japan:

  • A plate on the dashboard in the lower corner of the windshield indicates whether a taxi is vacant or not, red indicates vacant, green indicates occupied, exactly the other way around you may expect.

  • When boarding and getting out of the taxi, DON'T touch the door, the left rear door is opened and closed automatically by the driver.

  • If you don't speak Japanese, the easiest thing to do is to hand over the written address of your destination to the driver - or to show it on a map, if available, as the address system in Japan can be very confusing, even for the taxi driver. Most of the taxis accept credit card payments.

  • If you use cash, try to avoid using large bills for small amounts as the driver may not have enough change.

  • Last but not least: Tipping is not expected/done in Japan.


Local buses in Himeji (Shinki Bus)

Using the local bus, Shinki Bus may be the most convenient solution to move in Himeji. You will need cash or a rechargeable IC card https://www.japan-guide.com/e/e2359_003.html before boarding the bus. You may also purchase special fare tickets in advance at the bus station ticket office.


Check the destination on the front and side of the bus. Always board the bus at the rear door and exit at the front door. When paying using cash, take a number from the small box next to the entrance and keep it with you; you will need to drop the number together with your cash in a box near the driver when getting off the bus. When paying with an IC card, hold the card to the reader near the entrance until you hear an acoustic signal. If you purchased a special fare ticket in advance, take a number as if you'd pay with cash; when getting off the bus, drop the number in the ticket box next and show the special ticket to the driver.


A good solution for foreign travelers is the Hyogo Amazing Pass, a prepaid one-day ticket that allows you to use all orange Shinki Buses for 1,000 JYN for one day. You can purchase your Hyogo Amazing Pass online here and only need to show the screenshot of your mobile ticket when getting off the bus.

RESOURCES

Conference resources for downloading

Videos

Gallery

Maps

Recording

Videos

Gallery

Maps

Preview
Name
Category
Public Sector Partnership Webinar
YouTube
Webinar flyer
Flyer
PSHA models for the oceans
Slides
Atlas 2.0: Ground shaking intensities at multiple return periods all over the world
Brochure
Partner with GEM: Building a world resilient to earthquakes and other natural hazards
Brochure
Global Seismic Hazard Map
Poster
Global Seismic Risk Map
Poster
Quantify Your Earthquake Risk: Expert Solutions from the GEM Foundation
Brochure
Global Seismic Risk Map
Poster
Global Seismic Hazard Map
Poster
Atlas 2.0: Ground shaking intensities at multiple return periods all over the world
Brochure
Partner with GEM: Building a world resilient to earthquakes and other natural hazards
Brochure
Quantify Your Earthquake Risk: Expert Solutions from the GEM Foundation
Brochure
Atlas 2.0 Product Overview
Website
Country-Territory Seismic Risk Profiles
Dataset
Global Vulnerability Model
Model
Global Exposure Model
Model
Global Earthquake Risk Map
Map
Global Earthquake Hazard Map
Map
Country-Territory Seismic Risk Profiles
Dataset
Global Vulnerability Model
Model
Global Exposure Model
Model
Global Earthquake Risk Map
Map
Global Earthquake Hazard Map
Map

Recording

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