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GEM Models and OpenQuake Engine Training

May 5-16, 2025

EUCENTRE, Pavia, Italy

OVERVIEW

This course, part of the Doctoral Programme in Earthquake Engineering at IUSS Pavia, is organised by the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation, and aims to provide a comprehensive overview of state-of-the-art methods and models for seismic hazard, exposure, vulnerability and risk assessment, and their implementation within the OpenQuake Engine under a number of different use cases. The course will include both theoretical lectures and training sessions on how to use the OpenQuake Engine, from basic scenario analysis to advanced modelling of probabilistic seismic hazard and risk.

SPEAKERS & PANELISTS

Christopher Brooks

Seismic Hazard Modeller

Martina Caruso

Seismic Risk Modeller

Catalina Yepes Estrada

Exposure Development Lead

Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh

Physical Vulnerability Lead

Anirudh Rao

Seismic Risk Modelling Lead

Kirsty Bayliss

Seismic Hazard Modeller

Alejandro Calderón

Exposure Research Lead

Marco Baiguera

Exposure Analyst

Manuela Villani

Senior Seismic Hazard Modeller

Marco Pagani

Head of Seismic Hazards

AGENDA

Session Title

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Syllabus

EERI/SSA JOYNER LECTURE

WCEE2024 Secretariat Plenary Talks

Helen Crowley, GEM Secretary General, is set to be honoured with the prestigious Joyner Lecture Award for her distinguished contributions to earthquake science and engineering communication. She will deliver her lecture on April 10th, 2024 at 4:00 PM, Wednesday at the EERI Annual Meeting in Seattle, Washington; on May 2nd at 6:00 PM, 2024 at the SSA Annual Meeting in Anchorage, Alaska; and on July 4th at the 18th WCEE2024. Lecture day: Thursday July 4th, 17:00 - 18:00 Lecture title: Why seismic hazard modelling has become a risky business

TNM-1 TSUNAMI RISK ENGINEERING: AN INTER-DISCIPLINARY CHALLENGE

Convenors: F. Jalayer, K. Goda

Strong tsunamis are low-probability and high-consequence events. They are usually triggered by large subduction earthquakes, such as the 2004 Indian Ocean event. They can also be caused by complex cascades, such as flank collapse caused by the 2018 Anak Krakatau volcanic eruption and the 2018 Sulawesi submarine landslides triggered by a large strike-slip earthquake. They cause havoc and destruction along their paths and can have severe impacts and consequences on communities very far from their points of origin. Tsunami research is a perfect example of inter- and trans-disciplinary collaboration. There are major research challenges that make it an extremely vibrant and stimulating field: gaps in coverage of historical data and use of paleo-seismic and tsunami data, physics-based modelling of tsunami genesis and propagation, modelling of structural response to tsunami waves, loss and consequence modelling, the need for high-performance computing and simulations, uncertainty treatment in tsunami risk assessments, issuing timely warning, complexities related to modelling of human response to tsunami, and the central role of communication and capacity building. The physical sciences and engineering community can contribute significantly towards addressing these challenges. This technical section will welcome contributions across various aspects of tsunami risk engineering in a broad and inter-disciplinary sense: probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis, modelling physical consequences of tsunami on buildings, infrastructure, and industrial facilities, tsunami resistant design in codes, design of vertical evacuation structures, experimental testing of tsunamis, damage-dependent fragility assessment, tsunami vulnerability and loss assessment, digital twins of tsunami and its consequences, physical countermeasures, tsunami early warning and impact forecasting, tsunami evacuation modelling, financial measures for tsunami preparedness, and tsunami risk communication.

Seismic Hazard Component - 15 hours (Week 1)

  • Module 1: Components of a hazard input model: description and examples 

    • Earthquake sources

    • Ground-motion models

    • Logic trees

  • Module 2: Seismic Hazard Assessment 

    • Classical PSHA

    • Event-based PSHA

    • Scenario-based Hazard Analysis

    • Seismic Hazard Analysis with the OpenQuake Engine 

  • Module 3: Advanced Seismic Hazard Analysis 

    • Disaggregation

    • Conditional spectra

    • Vector-valued PSHA

    • Cross-correlated ground-motion fields and conditioning using seismic stations

    • Advanced Seismic Hazard Analysis with the OpenQuake Engine 



Seismic Risk Component - 15 hours (Week 2)

  • Module 4: Exposure Modelling

    • Exposure modelling at urban, regional and national scale

    • GEM Building Taxonomy

    • GEM Global Exposure Model

    • Exposure model inputs for the OpenQuake Engine

  • Module 5: Vulnerability Modelling

    • Concepts of fragility and vulnerability modelling

    • GEM Vulnerability modelling framework

    • GEM Global Vulnerability database

    • Vulnerability model inputs for the OpenQuake Engine

  • Module 6: Scenario Risk Modelling

    • Concepts of earthquake scenario modelling

    • Accounting for soil conditions

    • OpenQuake Engine scenario calculators

    • Exercises with scenario modelling

  • Module 7: Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment

    • Concepts of Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (PSRA)

    • GEM’s Global Seismic Risk Model

    • OpenQuake Engine risk calculators

    • Exercises on event-based seismic risk modelling

    • Advanced analysis with the OpenQuake Engine



Registration

REGISTRATION

External students interested in attending the course should contact GEM via email (info@globalquakemodel.org).

External students interested in attending the course should contact GEM via email (info@globalquakemodel.org).

EXHIBITION

LOCATION

HOTEL

TRANSPORTATION

POSTERS & DEMOS

Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment

RESOURCES

Videos

Gallery

Recording

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Gallery

GEM2023 in Photos:

By GEM
By Andrea Mini
By Jill Dobkin

Photo credit: GEM

Recording

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